Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 345.901905 391.760464 442.521162 503.064266 573.553470 653.323333 750.838985
2025-11-16 277.092774 337.089460 409.344748 503.528861 624.158619 774.969573 980.134568
2025-11-23 236.949634 301.532873 383.603127 496.946511 651.626522 858.587791 1162.022869
2025-11-30 211.585298 279.312555 369.256140 499.605505 687.322075 953.628873 1370.676713
2025-12-07 188.396766 256.251992 349.685493 490.629806 703.020078 1019.815760 1545.272422
2025-12-14 171.344071 239.300533 335.931663 487.047228 724.355170 1095.056347 1743.938788
2025-12-21 152.973967 218.350143 313.821455 467.690186 717.894008 1124.492909 1870.255332
2025-12-28 146.038910 213.379235 314.582142 483.121597 767.880732 1251.406597 2186.233479
2026-01-04 140.778750 210.290191 317.644750 502.138770 825.644018 1399.141500 2567.645021
2026-01-11 132.544722 201.734768 311.103689 504.202550 853.870241 1497.601378 2871.848032
2026-01-18 122.741355 189.809726 297.944455 493.341283 857.166722 1549.439089 3089.628645
2026-01-25 114.275488 179.372296 286.300170 483.801944 861.447316 1603.199305 3321.166120
2026-02-01 110.212102 176.067749 286.655682 496.338249 910.299669 1755.365083 3811.886965
2026-02-08 104.143532 168.902051 279.730638 494.689847 931.080284 1852.759865 4197.119043
2026-02-15 97.988241 161.096947 270.972723 488.531591 941.654988 1929.291036 4547.672821
2026-02-22 93.666335 156.173831 266.958650 491.097222 970.659164 2051.413056 5046.959529
2026-03-01 88.164251 148.745296 257.736773 482.305785 973.931964 2114.117419 5398.955986
2026-03-08 83.817074 143.111913 251.425542 478.793566 988.414573 2205.982654 5858.733185
2026-03-15 77.900562 134.214293 238.272583 459.819416 965.408863 2201.271449 6027.436694
2026-03-22 76.501539 133.637733 241.099149 474.945870 1023.743515 2414.141850 6938.918100
2026-03-29 75.537376 133.802631 245.363157 493.584956 1093.059241 2669.205322 8074.295347
2026-04-05 72.828143 130.427980 242.284970 495.607555 1121.620850 2817.642558 8889.028549
2026-04-12 69.014058 124.669017 233.960312 484.962685 1116.693898 2869.863501 9368.208126